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Malacateco vs Suchitepequez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Santa Lucía, Malacatán
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Diaz W.
35'
Madrid C.
41'
Meneses R.

AI Match Summary

Malacateco in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malacateco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Malacateco
20%
Draws
40%
Suchitepequez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Malacateco have won more games recently than Suchitepequez.
  • Malacateco are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 20%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malacateco Suchitepequez
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Malacateco
1:0
Sep 6, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Suchitepequez
2:0
Jul 18, 2019 Club Friendly
Suchitepequez vs Malacateco
1:1
Apr 4, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Malacateco
3:1
Feb 4, 2018 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Suchitepequez
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malacateco Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinones E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrade N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Suchitepequez Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malacateco 36 / 100
Suchitepequez 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malacateco Suchitepequez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suchitepequez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Malacateco scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Suchitepequez's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malacateco VS Suchitepequez
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malacateco

(Home)
09 Nov
Antigua
2 : 0
Malacateco
03 Nov
Suchitepequez
1 : 0
Malacateco
29 Oct
Malacateco
0 : 2
Aurora F.C.
25 Oct
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 2
Malacateco
21 Oct
Malacateco
1 : 0
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Suchitepequez

(Away)
07 Nov
Guastatoya
4 : 0
Suchitepequez
03 Nov
Suchitepequez
1 : 0
Malacateco
28 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
25 Oct
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 19 12 2 5 33:21 38
2 Deportivo Mixco 20 10 4 6 33:27 34
3 Xelaju 19 9 4 6 31:20 31
4 Guastatoya 19 9 4 6 27:22 31
5 Municipal 18 8 6 4 23:13 30
6 Deportivo San Pedro 19 7 5 7 22:22 26
7 Aurora F.C. 19 8 1 10 28:29 25
8 Coban Imperial 19 7 4 8 26:28 25
9 Marquense 19 7 4 8 18:25 25
10 Comunicaciones 19 7 2 10 24:28 23
11 Malacateco 19 5 4 10 18:28 19
12 Suchitepequez 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)