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Malacky vs Dubnica

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - West 2023/2024
Malacky Logo

Malacky

3 - 2
FT
Dubnica Logo

Dubnica

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga - West 2023/2024 game between Malacky and Dubnica finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malacky.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Malacky
15%
Draws
21%
Dubnica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malacky

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Dubnica haven't matched Malacky's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Malacky a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Liga - West 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Malacky have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Malacky Clean Sheet 16%
Dubnica Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malacky Dubnica
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 26
Goals Scored 1.79 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 3. Liga - West
Malacky vs Dubnica
3:2
Aug 6, 2023 3. Liga - West
Dubnica vs Malacky
0:4
Aug 24, 2022 Slovak Cup
Malacky vs Dubnica
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malacky 84 / 100
Dubnica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malacky Dubnica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malacky Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dubnica has conceded goals in 100% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Malacky's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: Malacky remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malacky VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malacky

(Home)
26 Sept
NSK 1922 Bratislava
1 : 3
Malacky
20 Sept
Malacky
0 : 1
Tomasov
13 Sept
Kalinkovo
0 : 6
Malacky
06 Sept
Malacky
6 : 0
Malinovo
29 Aug
Jakubov
3 : 1
Malacky
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Dubnica

(Away)
08 Jun
Dubnica
3 : 1
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom
01 Jun
Zvolen
5 : 0
Dubnica
25 May
Dubnica
0 : 4
Raca
18 May
Sala
6 : 1
Dubnica
12 May
Dubnica
0 : 1
Jednota Banova
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zvolen 30 18 8 4 50:29 62
2 Sered 30 16 8 6 55:28 56
3 Galanta 30 16 6 8 43:29 54
4 Belusa 30 14 8 8 47:37 50
5 Sala 30 13 10 7 52:37 49
6 MSK Martin 30 13 9 8 51:44 48
7 Hamsik Academy Banska Bystrica 30 12 11 7 45:29 47
8 Malacky 30 11 9 10 42:32 42
9 Raca 30 10 10 10 39:32 40
10 Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 30 11 7 12 44:42 40
11 Podkonice 30 9 8 13 46:58 35
12 Castkovce 30 9 8 13 39:48 35
13 Velke Ludince 30 9 7 14 38:42 34
14 Jednota Banova 30 7 10 13 33:41 31
15 AFC Nove Mesto 30 6 4 20 39:76 22
16 Dubnica 30 4 1 25 29:88 10
Promotion - 2. liga 2024/2025 (Main)