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Malaga B vs Atletico de Porcuna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Artiles A.
51' Event
Lakhyar H.
53' Event
Lakhyar H.

AI Match Summary

Malaga B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malaga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Malaga B
15%
Draws
32%
Atletico de Porcuna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico de Porcuna lately — more wins on the board than Malaga B.
  • Model gives Malaga B a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 15%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B Atletico de Porcuna
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Atletico de Porcuna
6:1
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Atletico de Porcuna
6:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Malaga B
2:2
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:1
Sep 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Malaga B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakhyar H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perea G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Atletico de Porcuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 84 / 100
Atletico de Porcuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B Atletico de Porcuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Malaga B scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Atletico de Porcuna let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Malaga B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS Atletico de Porcuna
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
03 Oct
Malaga B
2 : 0
Granada CF B
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
Page 1 of 6

Atletico de Porcuna

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3
Churriana de la Vega
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1
Granada CF B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Cantoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)