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Malaga B vs CD Baza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

Malaga B in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malaga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Malaga B
20%
Draws
40%
CD Baza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Malaga B average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of CD Baza's 0.83.
  • Model gives Malaga B a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 16%
CD Baza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B CD Baza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.23 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Malaga B
0:1
Oct 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs CD Baza
1:0
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Malaga B
1:1
Sep 24, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs CD Baza
2:0
Apr 12, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Malaga B
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 84 / 100
CD Baza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B CD Baza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaga B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Baza conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Malaga B found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Malaga B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
03 Oct
Malaga B
2 : 0
Granada CF B
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
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CD Baza

(Away)
15 May
CD Baza
3 : 2
CD Alhaurino
08 May
El Palo
2 : 1
CD Baza
01 May
CD Baza
0 : 0
Mancha
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
17 Apr
CD Baza
2 : 0
Marbella
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)