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Malaga B vs Santa Fe

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009 game between Malaga B and Santa Fe finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malaga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Malaga B
30%
Draws
37%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malaga B come out ahead of Santa Fe on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Malaga B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 18%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga B Santa Fe
Matches Played 43 33
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.58 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs Malaga B
1:3
Nov 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Santa Fe
2:1
Apr 26, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Santa Fe
3:0
Dec 8, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs Malaga B
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga B 36 / 100
Santa Fe 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga B Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Malaga B found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (43 games).

Santa Fe has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Malaga B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaga B VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga B

(Home)
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2
Antoniano
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
04 Apr
Malaga B
2 : 1
Jaen
Page 1 of 9

Santa Fe

(Away)
09 May
Santa Fe
2 : 4
Velez
02 May
Almeria B
3 : 3
Santa Fe
18 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 2
Santa Fe
11 Apr
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Loja
04 Apr
Ciudad de Vicar
2 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Estepona CF 38 27 6 5 87:36 87
2 Almeria B 38 25 7 6 86:36 82
3 Motril 38 22 12 4 73:38 78
4 Malaga B 38 19 11 8 66:31 68
5 CD Baza 38 18 11 9 57:33 65
6 Comarca 38 18 6 14 51:41 60
7 Ejido 2 38 16 9 13 58:47 57
8 Velez 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
9 Loja 38 14 8 16 29:40 50
10 Granada Atletico Club de Futbol 38 14 7 17 44:52 49
11 Ciudad de Vicar 38 13 9 16 58:60 48
12 CD Ronda 38 13 9 16 51:55 48
13 CD Alhaurino 38 12 10 16 57:59 46
14 Arenas Armilla 38 10 14 14 41:44 44
15 Santa Fe 38 12 7 19 51:67 43
16 Adra 38 11 9 18 40:65 42
17 Vera CD 38 12 5 21 35:61 41
18 CP Granada 74 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
19 CD Imperio de Albolote 38 8 4 26 28:77 28
20 Melilla B 38 7 5 26 27:86 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)