Sport Picks
Malaga Juniors vs Atletico de Porcuna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 
Match Events
32'
32'
Valero J.
88'
88'
Burgos J.
AI Match Summary
Atletico de Porcuna in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico de Porcuna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico de Porcuna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Atletico de Porcuna have won more games recently than Malaga Juniors.
- Model gives Malaga Juniors a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 15%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Malaga Juniors | Atletico de Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 3 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 23 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Atletico de Porcuna
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Malaga Juniors
0:2
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Malaga Juniors
2:1
Nov 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Malaga Juniors Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Atletico de Porcuna Compare
Top Goalscorer Valero J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Malaga Juniors 41 / 100
Atletico de Porcuna 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Malaga Juniors Atletico de Porcuna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico de Porcuna let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Atletico de Porcuna has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Malaga Juniors found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Malaga Juniors VS Atletico de Porcuna
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Malaga Juniors
(Home) 04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1 Marbelli
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0 Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1 Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1 Marbelli
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Almeria B
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1 CP Almeria
27 Apr
Malaga Juniors
4 : 1 Mancha
Page 1 of 3
Atletico de Porcuna
(Away) 04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 Churriana de la Vega
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1 Granada CF B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Cantoria
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
10 May
Motril
2 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malaga B | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 76:22 | 83 |
| 2 | Jaen | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 60:35 | 73 |
| 3 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 57:35 | 61 |
| 4 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 48:30 | 61 |
| 5 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35:28 | 57 |
| 6 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 49:36 | 57 |
| 7 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 53:35 | 54 |
| 8 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 42:37 | 50 |
| 9 | Mancha | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Marbelli | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 32:42 | 42 |
| 11 | El Palo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:49 | 41 |
| 12 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Martos | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 28:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45:55 | 36 |
| 16 | Ejido | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36:68 | 27 |
| 17 | CP Almeria | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 35:75 | 23 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 31:63 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
