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Malaga Juniors vs Huetor Vega

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Escobar Hoyos P.
78' Event
Diaz Castillo J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 game between Malaga Juniors and Huetor Vega finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Malaga Juniors
20%
Draws
80%
Huetor Vega
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Huetor Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Malaga Juniors haven't matched Huetor Vega's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Huetor Vega's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 12%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga Juniors Huetor Vega
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 3 10
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Huetor Vega
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Malaga Juniors
4:0
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Malaga Juniors
2:0
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Huetor Vega
0:1
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Malaga Juniors
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Escobar Hoyos P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Huetor Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz Castillo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga Juniors 22 / 100
Huetor Vega 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga Juniors Huetor Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Vega Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Vega let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Malaga Juniors scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Huetor Vega's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malaga Juniors VS Huetor Vega
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga Juniors

(Home)
04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1
Marbelli
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0
Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1
Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
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Huetor Vega

(Away)
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0
Mancha
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)