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Malaga Juniors vs Mancha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malaga Juniors host Mancha in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Malaga Juniors at 0.93 goals for, 2.07 against; Mancha at 0.9 for, 1.35 against. Head-to-head, Malaga Juniors have won 2 to Mancha's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.35, favoring Mancha. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Malaga Juniors
20%
Draws
80%
Mancha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mancha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mancha lately — more wins on the board than Malaga Juniors.
  • 80% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 18%
Mancha Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga Juniors Mancha
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.93 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Mancha
4:1
Dec 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Malaga Juniors
3:2
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs Mancha
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Malaga Juniors
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga Juniors 36 / 100
Mancha 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga Juniors Mancha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mancha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Mancha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Mancha has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Malaga Juniors found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Malaga Juniors VS Mancha
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga Juniors

(Home)
04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1
Marbelli
27 Sept
Melilla
2 : 0
Malaga Juniors
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1
Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
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Mancha

(Away)
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0
Mancha
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)