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Malaga vs Al Ittihad

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bergwijn S.
34' Event
Ilenikhena G.
46'
Sub
Sanchez D. In: Salinas J.
Out: Sanchez D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Malaga and Al Ittihad finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Malaga
35%
Draws
37%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ittihad have managed 1.83 goals a game lately — Malaga are scoring more at 2.03.
  • Win probability leans Malaga's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Malaga Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga Al Ittihad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Malaga vs Al Ittihad
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Nino A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergwijn S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilenikhena G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga 41 / 100
Al Ittihad 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al Ittihad let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Malaga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malaga VS Al Ittihad
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga

(Home)
12 Aug
Malaga
2 : 2
Fulham
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1
Malaga
06 Aug
Malaga
4 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
30 Jul
Malaga
2 : 2
Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Malaga
3 : 3
Leicester
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Al Ittihad

(Away)
15 Aug
Al Ittihad
1 : 1
Al Kholood
11 Aug
Al Jazira
1 : 4
Al Ittihad
30 Jul
Malaga
2 : 2
Al Ittihad
30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2
Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Al Ittihad
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