Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malaga vs Dep. A Coruna

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Aubameyang P.
Assist: Cruz L.
25'
Soriano M.
34' Event
Chupe
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga game between Malaga and Dep. A Coruna finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Malaga
35%
Draws
52%
Dep. A Coruna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. A Coruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Malaga haven't matched Dep. A Coruna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Malaga's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Malaga Clean Sheet 15%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaga Dep. A Coruna
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 13 11
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.77 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 LaLiga
Malaga vs Dep. A Coruna
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Malaga
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 LaLiga2
Malaga vs Dep. A Coruna
3:0
Jan 11, 2025 LaLiga2
Malaga vs Dep. A Coruna
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Malaga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dep. A Coruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Aubameyang P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaga 35 / 100
Dep. A Coruna 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaga Dep. A Coruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dep. A Coruna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Malaga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malaga VS Dep. A Coruna
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaga

(Home)
20 Sept
Getafe
1 : 0
Malaga
17 Sept
Malaga
1 : 3
Villarreal
13 Sept
Celta Vigo
1 : 1
Malaga
06 Sept
Malaga
0 : 0
Levante
30 Aug
Real Madrid
4 : 0
Malaga
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Dep. A Coruna

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Betis
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
05 Sept
Villarreal
2 : 3
Dep. A Coruna
30 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
3 : 1
Valencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)