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Malatya vs Alemdag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Atac D.
51' Event
Akman A.
76' Event
Gemici E.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 game between Malatya and Alemdag finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malatya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Malatya
15%
Draws
18%
Alemdag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Malatya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malatya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Malatya Clean Sheet 20%
Alemdag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malatya Alemdag
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Malatya vs Alemdag
3:1
Dec 2, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Alemdag vs Malatya
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Atac D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Alemdag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malatya 85 / 100
Alemdag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malatya Alemdag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malatya found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Alemdag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Malatya has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malatya VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malatya

(Home)
07 Oct
Malatya
3 : 1
Gelecek Siirt
03 Oct
Yozgat
1 : 9
Malatya
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 7

Alemdag

(Away)
01 May
Alemdag
0 : 0
Edirnespor Genclik
25 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
0 : 2
Alemdag
21 Apr
Alemdag
1 : 2
Cankaya FK
14 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1
Alemdag
08 Apr
Alemdag
1 : 2
Kizilcabolukspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 20 8 2 43:18 68
2 Bucaspor 1928 30 20 7 3 58:18 67
3 Malatya 30 17 5 8 50:27 56
4 Ofspor 30 14 11 5 43:31 53
5 Arnavutkoy Bl. 30 13 9 8 40:29 48
6 Edirnespor Genclik 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Guzide Gebzespor 30 11 10 9 41:29 43
8 Hopaspor 30 10 9 11 41:44 39
9 Fatsa Bld. 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
10 Kizilcabolukspor 30 9 10 11 34:33 37
11 Nevsehir 30 9 7 14 31:31 34
12 Cankaya FK 30 10 4 16 28:48 34
13 Alemdag 30 9 6 15 37:48 33
14 Kemerspor 2003 30 7 6 17 27:50 27
15 Payasspor 30 5 8 17 29:56 23
16 Manisaspor 30 1 9 20 22:56 12
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)