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Malatya vs Gelecek Siirt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Yilmaz E.
52' Event
Firat G.
Own Goal
89' Event
Celik O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Malatya
25%
Draws
35%
Gelecek Siirt
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malatya lately — more wins on the board than Gelecek Siirt.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Malatya taking it.
  • Malatya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Malatya, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Malatya Clean Sheet 14%
Gelecek Siirt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malatya Gelecek Siirt
Matches Played 32 2
Wins 20 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 2.06 2
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Turkish Cup
Malatya vs Gelecek Siirt
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Yilmaz E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koca G. Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Gelecek Siirt Compare

Top Goalscorer Celik O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malatya 84 / 100
Gelecek Siirt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malatya Gelecek Siirt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Malatya has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Malatya scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Gelecek Siirt let in goals in 50% of their last 2 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malatya VS Gelecek Siirt
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malatya

(Home)
07 Oct
Malatya
3 : 1
Gelecek Siirt
03 Oct
Yozgat
1 : 9
Malatya
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 7

Gelecek Siirt

(Away)
07 Oct
Malatya
3 : 1
Gelecek Siirt
16 Sept
Dersim Spor
0 : 3
Gelecek Siirt

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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Bulvarspor 5
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Bayburt Spor Kulubu 3
Borcka Spor 0
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3
Kesap 0
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SinopSpor 0
Arit Kayadibi 3
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Amasyaspor 10
Cankirigucu 0
Orduspor 1967 10
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Gole Spor 0
Kars 36 Spor 5
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Karabuk Idmanyurdu -
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Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 3
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Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Yesil Yalova FK 1
Karsiyaka -
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Afyonkarahisaspor 2
Urgupspor Kulubu 1
Bucaspor 1928 0
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4
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Altay 2
Soke 1970 4
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Bigaspor -
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Balikesirspor -
Osmaneli Belediyespor 0
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Karaman FK 2
Kepez Bld. 3
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Alanya 1221 -
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Karakopru -
Erciyes 38 -
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Kilis Birlikgucu 0
Kahta 2
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Agri 1970 -
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Kirikkale FK 0
Kirsehir SK 3
Adanaspor AS -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
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Osmaniyespor -
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Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5
Bucak Belediyesi 1
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Hakkari Zap -
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Dersim Spor 0
Gelecek Siirt 3
Bitlis 1916 -
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1/8-finals
Pazarspor 3
Erbaaspor 1
Silivrispor 3
Bulvarspor 2
Kucukcekmece 5
Buyukcekmece Gucu 1
Kirklarelispor 1
Bayburt Spor Kulubu 0
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
Etimesgut 5
Sakaryaspor 2
Arit Kayadibi 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Amasyaspor 0
Orduspor 1967 -
Karadeniz Eregli -
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Duzcespor 1
Golcukspor 2
Yozgat 0
Kars 36 Spor 1
Fatsa Bld. 0
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 0
Karacabey Bld. 3
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
Karsiyaka 3
Afyonkarahisaspor 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 0
Fethiyespor 2
Eskisehirspor 4
Aksehirspor 1
Gemlikspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu -
Serik Spor -
Soke 1970 1
Ayvalikgucu 2
Bigaspor 0
Balikesirspor 3
Eskisehir Anadolu 4
Kepez Bld. 2
Soma Spor 4
Alanya 1221 2
Hatayspor 1
Karakopru 2
Erciyes 38 2
Kahta 0
Nigde 0
Agri 1970 2
Mazidagi 1
Kirsehir SK 0
Adanaspor AS 0
Adana Adaletgucu 2
Osmaniyespor 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3
Hakkari Zap 6
Adanademirspor 1
Malatya 3
Gelecek Siirt 1
Bitlis 1916 6
Silifke 0
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