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Malatya vs Mazidagi

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Tutcuoglu G.
Assist: Ozler T.

AI Match Summary

Malatya in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malatya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Malatya
28%
Draws
22%
Mazidagi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Mazidagi haven't matched Malatya's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Malatya a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Malatya Clean Sheet 68%
Mazidagi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malatya Mazidagi
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Malatya vs Mazidagi
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Mazidagi vs Malatya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Tutcuoglu G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Mazidagi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malatya 59 / 100
Mazidagi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malatya Mazidagi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malatya's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Malatya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mazidagi let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malatya VS Mazidagi
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malatya

(Home)
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Apr
Silifke
1 : 1
Malatya
23 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1
Silifke
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Mazidagi

(Away)
27 Apr
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Mazidagi
23 Apr
Mazidagi
1 : 1
Erciyes 38
18 Apr
Mazidagi
3 : 0
Turk Metal 1963
12 Apr
Nigde
0 : 1
Mazidagi
05 Apr
Mazidagi
0 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 Bingol Spor30179460:2860
2Erciyes 38301310742:3149
3Silifke301212641:2648
4Malatya30138945:3547
5Mazidagi301211732:2447
6Agri 197030129957:3345
7Karakopru301281038:4244
8Osmaniyespor301261242:4042
9Nigde301181144:3641
10Kirikkale FK301171239:5140
11Kirsehir SK307131037:3834
12Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)308101233:4234
13Kahramanmarasspor307111235:4832
14Kilis Bld.30861625:5330
15Suvermez Kapadokyaspor305131229:4728
16Turk Metal 1963304111530:5520
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)