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Malatya vs Mazidagi

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Tutcuoglu G.
Assist: Ozler T.

AI Match Summary

Malatya in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malatya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Malatya
20%
Draws
32%
Mazidagi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Mazidagi haven't matched Malatya's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Malatya Clean Sheet 68%
Mazidagi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malatya Mazidagi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.52 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Malatya vs Mazidagi
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Mazidagi vs Malatya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Tutcuoglu G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mazidagi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malatya 41 / 100
Mazidagi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malatya Mazidagi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malatya's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Malatya has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mazidagi let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Malatya VS Mazidagi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malatya

(Home)
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
06 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 1
Malatya
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
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Mazidagi

(Away)
20 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 0
Mazidagi
13 Sept
Mazidagi
3 : 0
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
06 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
1 : 3
Mazidagi
27 Apr
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Mazidagi
23 Apr
Mazidagi
1 : 1
Erciyes 38
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 Bingol Spor 30 17 9 4 60:28 60
2 Erciyes 38 30 13 10 7 42:31 49
3 Silifke 30 12 12 6 41:26 48
4 Malatya 30 13 8 9 45:35 47
5 Mazidagi 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Agri 1970 30 12 9 9 57:33 45
7 Karakopru 30 12 8 10 38:42 44
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42:40 42
9 Nigde 30 11 8 11 44:36 41
10 Kirikkale FK 30 11 7 12 39:51 40
11 Kirsehir SK 30 7 13 10 37:38 34
12 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 8 10 12 33:42 34
13 Kahramanmarasspor 30 7 11 12 35:48 32
14 Kilis Bld. 30 8 6 16 25:53 30
15 Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 29:47 28
16 Turk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 30:55 20
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)