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Malatya vs Suvermez Kapadokyaspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Polat M.
Assist: Demir O. E.
23' Event
Gunes M.
Assist: Furtana E.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 game between Malatya and Suvermez Kapadokyaspor finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Malatya
6%
Draws
4%
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malatya come out ahead of Suvermez Kapadokyaspor on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Malatya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Malatya Clean Sheet 19%
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malatya Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 10 13
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Malatya vs Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor vs Malatya
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Polat M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malatya 85 / 100
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malatya Suvermez Kapadokyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malatya scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Malatya remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malatya VS Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malatya

(Home)
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Apr
Silifke
1 : 1
Malatya
23 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1
Silifke
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Suvermez Kapadokyaspor

(Away)
18 Apr
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
2 : 3
Agri 1970
12 Apr
Karakopru
2 : 1
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
05 Apr
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
1 : 0
Silifke
28 Mar
Osmaniyespor
3 : 3
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
24 Mar
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
1 : 3
Turk Metal 1963
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 Bingol Spor30179460:2860
2Erciyes 38301310742:3149
3Silifke301212641:2648
4Malatya30138945:3547
5Mazidagi301211732:2447
6Agri 197030129957:3345
7Karakopru301281038:4244
8Osmaniyespor301261242:4042
9Nigde301181144:3641
10Kirikkale FK301171239:5140
11Kirsehir SK307131037:3834
12Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)308101233:4234
13Kahramanmarasspor307111235:4832
14Kilis Bld.30861625:5330
15Suvermez Kapadokyaspor305131229:4728
16Turk Metal 1963304111530:5520
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)