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Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium, Bandar-e Anzali
Malavan Logo

Malavan

0 - 4
FT
Fajr Sepasi Logo

Fajr Sepasi

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Eslamikhah G.
35' Event
Jafarikia S.
Assist: Esmaeili F.
45' Event
Rostami Y.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 game between Malavan and Fajr Sepasi finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fajr Sepasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Malavan
30%
Draws
39%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fajr Sepasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Malavan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Malavan Clean Sheet 68%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 24%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malavan Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.85 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi
0:1
Dec 15, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi
0:4
May 26, 2021 Azadegan League
Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0
Jan 11, 2021 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Malavan
2:0
Jan 26, 2020 Azadegan League
Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malavan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Jafarikia S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esmaeili F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malavan 41 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malavan Fajr Sepasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malavan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fajr Sepasi conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Malavan scored in 54% of their last 26 games.

Solid form: Malavan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malavan VS Fajr Sepasi
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malavan

(Home)
08 Oct
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Malavan
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

Fajr Sepasi

(Away)
08 Oct
Sepahan
6 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0
Zob Ahan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)