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Stadium Background

Malawi U17 vs Botswana U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malawi U17 in this CAF African Championship U17 2013 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Malawi U17
15%
Draws
42%
Botswana U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botswana U17 lately — more wins on the board than Malawi U17.
  • Model gives Malawi U17 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Botswana U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malawi U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Malawi U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Botswana U17 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi U17 Botswana U17
Matches Played 11 13
Wins 2 4
Draws 0 2
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.09 0.92
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Botswana U17 vs Malawi U17
2:1
Sep 8, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Malawi U17 vs Botswana U17
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi U17 75 / 100
Botswana U17 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi U17 Botswana U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Botswana U17 conceded in 92% of 13 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Botswana U17's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Malawi U17's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Malawi U17 VS Botswana U17
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi U17

(Home)
26 Oct
Malawi U17
0 : 3
South Africa U17
07 Dec
Zambia U17
3 : 1
Malawi U17
22 Sept
Botswana U17
2 : 1
Malawi U17
08 Sept
Malawi U17
2 : 1
Botswana U17
01 Nov
Malawi U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
Page 1 of 3

Botswana U17

(Away)
02 Jul
Botswana U17
2 : 1
Namibia U17
24 Jun
Namibia U17
1 : 0
Botswana U17
02 Aug
Botswana U17
0 : 5
Zambia U17
20 Jul
Zambia U17
1 : 0
Botswana U17
19 Apr
Gabon U17
3 : 1
Botswana U17
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U17 -
TBD -
Reunion U17 0
Namibia U17 6
Ethiopia U17 6
Central Africa U17 0
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Botswana U17 3
Malawi U17 3
TBD -
Rwanda U17 -
Sudan U17 0
Somalia U17 1
Somalia U17 -
Algeria U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Chad U17 6
Equatorial Guinea U17 0
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Tanzania U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
Zimbabwe U17 4
Mozambique U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Angola U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
TBD -
Liberia U17 0
Benin U17 3
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Nigeria U17 10
Niger U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Mauritius U17 6
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U17 7
Namibia U17 0
Ethiopia U17 4
Tunisia U17 5
Botswana U17 2
Rwanda U17 1
Sudan U17 0
Algeria U17 3
Senegal U17 6
Sierra Leone U17 0
Chad U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 6
Tanzania U17 6
Egypt U17 0
Zimbabwe U17 1
Congo U17 2
Gabon U17 5
Angola U17 4
Cameroon U17 2
Benin U17 5
South Africa U17 2
Zambia U17 1
Gambia U17 0
Ghana U17 6
Nigeria U17 7
Guinea U17 0
Mauritius U17 3
Mali U17 6
Final
Burkina Faso U17 2
Tunisia U17 4
Botswana U17 3
Algeria U17 2
Senegal U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 3
Tanzania U17 1
Congo U17 2
Gabon U17 3
Benin U17 2
South Africa U17 3
Ghana U17 5
Nigeria U17 4
Mali U17 0