Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malawi U20 vs Comoros U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2020 Wolfson Stadium, Ibhayi
Malawi U20 Logo

Malawi U20

1 - 0
FT
Comoros U20 Logo

Comoros U20

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Mologeni Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The COSAFA Championship U20 2020 game between Malawi U20 and Comoros U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malawi U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Malawi U20
15%
Draws
32%
Comoros U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Comoros U20 haven't matched Malawi U20's recent run of results.
  • Malawi U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this COSAFA Championship U20 2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Malawi U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Malawi U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Comoros U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi U20 Comoros U20
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 0
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.53 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 COSAFA Championship U20
Malawi U20 vs Comoros U20
2:1
Oct 10, 2022 COSAFA Championship U20
Comoros U20 vs Malawi U20
2:0
Dec 4, 2020 COSAFA Championship U20
Malawi U20 vs Comoros U20
1:0
Dec 4, 2019 COSAFA Championship U20
Comoros U20 vs Malawi U20
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malawi U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mologeni Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Comoros U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi U20 50 / 100
Comoros U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi U20 Comoros U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comoros U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Malawi U20 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Malawi U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malawi U20 VS Comoros U20
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi U20

(Home)
13 Jul
South Africa U20
3 : 0
Malawi U20
11 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zambia U20
08 Jul
Namibia U20
0 : 2
Malawi U20
06 Jul
Angola U20
1 : 1
Malawi U20
04 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zimbabwe U20
Page 1 of 7

Comoros U20

(Away)
01 Oct
Comoros U20
0 : 2
South Africa U20
29 Sept
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Comoros U20
27 Sept
Comoros U20
1 : 0
Lesotho U20
12 Oct
South Africa U20
4 : 0
Comoros U20
10 Oct
Comoros U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mozambique U20 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 South Africa U20 3 1 2 0 9:2 5
3 Zimbabwe U20 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Lesotho U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia U20 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Namibia U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Malawi U20 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Comoros U20 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola U20 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
2 Eswatini U20 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Botswana U20 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2020 (Play Offs)