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Malawi U20 vs Kenya U20

World World

Friendly International 2024 Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Saviel E.
45' Event
Kamenya C.
81' Event
Omuri E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Malawi U20 and Kenya U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malawi U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Malawi U20
30%
Draws
12%
Kenya U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Malawi U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Malawi U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Malawi U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Malawi U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi U20 Kenya U20
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Friendly International
Malawi U20 vs Kenya U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malawi U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saviel E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamenya C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Kenya U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Omuri E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi U20 56 / 100
Kenya U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi U20 Kenya U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Malawi U20 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Kenya U20 conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Malawi U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malawi U20 VS Kenya U20
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi U20

(Home)
13 Jul
South Africa U20
3 : 0
Malawi U20
11 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zambia U20
08 Jul
Namibia U20
0 : 2
Malawi U20
06 Jul
Angola U20
1 : 1
Malawi U20
04 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zimbabwe U20
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Kenya U20

(Away)
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
24 Apr
Ghana U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
20 Oct
Tanzania U20
2 : 1
Kenya U20
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