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Malawi U20 vs Uganda U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The COSAFA Championship U20 2017 game between Malawi U20 and Uganda U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malawi U20
15%
Draws
49%
Uganda U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Malawi U20 haven't matched Uganda U20's recent run of results.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this COSAFA Championship U20 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Malawi U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malawi U20 Uganda U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.53 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2017 COSAFA Championship U20
Malawi U20 vs Uganda U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malawi U20 30 / 100
Uganda U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malawi U20 Uganda U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malawi U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Uganda U20 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Malawi U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malawi U20 VS Uganda U20
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Malawi U20

(Home)
23 Sept
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Comoros U20
21 Sept
Botswana U20
0 : 3
Malawi U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
13 Jul
South Africa U20
3 : 0
Malawi U20
11 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zambia U20
Page 1 of 6

Uganda U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 Malawi U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Zambia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Eswatini U20 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Egypt U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Mozambique U20 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Mauritius U20 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lesotho U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Zimbabwe U20 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Namibia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Angola U20 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)