Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malaysia U23 vs Mongolia U23

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Nadarajah T.
57'
Bat-Erdene U.
57'
Bat-Erdene U.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship U23 2018 game between Malaysia U23 and Mongolia U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malaysia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Malaysia U23
15%
Draws
0%
Mongolia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaysia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malaysia U23 come out ahead of Mongolia U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Malaysia U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship U23 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Malaysia U23 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Malaysia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Mongolia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaysia U23 Mongolia U23
Matches Played 38 23
Wins 13 1
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.29 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.32 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U23
Mongolia U23 vs Malaysia U23
0:7
Oct 28, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Mongolia U23 vs Malaysia U23
0:1
Jul 23, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Malaysia U23 vs Mongolia U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaysia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nadarajah T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tajudin S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Mongolia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaysia U23 95 / 100
Mongolia U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaysia U23 Mongolia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaysia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mongolia U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Mongolia U23's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Malaysia U23 scored in 63% of their last 38 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaysia U23 VS Mongolia U23
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaysia U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Thailand U23
2 : 1
Malaysia U23
06 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 7
Malaysia U23
03 Sept
Malaysia U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
28 Aug
Malaysia U23
0 : 1
Kuwait U23
13 Aug
Malaysia U23
0 : 1
Singapore U23
Page 1 of 8

Mongolia U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 7
Malaysia U23
03 Sept
Thailand U23
6 : 0
Mongolia U23
24 Sept
Iran U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
21 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U23 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Iran U23 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
4 Sri Lanka U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Afghanistan U23 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Syria U23 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 India U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine U23 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Singapore U23 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
2 Hong Kong U23 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 4:8 4
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Thailand U23 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
2 Vietnam U23 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 2:25 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams