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Malaysia U23 vs Vietnam U23

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U23 2023
Malaysia U23 Logo

Malaysia U23

1 - 4
FT
Vietnam U23 Logo

Vietnam U23

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Kutty H.
8' Event
Dinh X. T.
Assist: Nguyen Minh Quang
32' Event
Nguyen Quoc Viet
Assist: Nguyen Duc Viet
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Vietnam U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malaysia U23
15%
Draws
49%
Vietnam U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vietnam U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Malaysia U23 haven't matched Vietnam U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Malaysia U23 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Vietnam U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam U23, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vietnam U23 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Malaysia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaysia U23 Vietnam U23
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 19
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U23
Malaysia U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:2
Aug 24, 2023 ASEAN Championship U23
Malaysia U23 vs Vietnam U23
1:4
Jun 8, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U23 vs Malaysia U23
2:0
May 19, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Malaysia U23
1:0
Jun 2, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Malaysia U23
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaysia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anuar Ikmalrizal M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Vietnam U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dinh X. T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Quoc Viet
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaysia U23 95 / 100
Vietnam U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaysia U23 Vietnam U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malaysia U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Vietnam U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

Vietnam U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Malaysia U23 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaysia U23 VS Vietnam U23
4 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaysia U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Thailand U23
2 : 1
Malaysia U23
06 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 7
Malaysia U23
03 Sept
Malaysia U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
28 Aug
Malaysia U23
0 : 1
Kuwait U23
13 Aug
Malaysia U23
0 : 1
Singapore U23
Page 1 of 6

Vietnam U23

(Away)
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Vietnam U23
1 : 1
Kuwait U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Malaysia U23 1
Vietnam U23 4
Thailand U23 1
Indonesia U23 3
Final
Vietnam U23 1
Indonesia U23 0
Malaysia U23 0
Thailand U23 1