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Stadium Background

Malaysia vs Philippines

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship KLFA Stadium, Kuala Lumpur
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gunalan P.
Assist: Kuzain W.
20'
Mariona J.
45'
Haiqal A.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship game between Malaysia and Philippines finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malaysia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Malaysia
15%
Draws
34%
Philippines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaysia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Malaysia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Malaysia Clean Sheet 10%
Philippines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malaysia Philippines
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Malaysia vs Philippines
1:0
Sep 4, 2024 Merdeka Cup
Malaysia vs Philippines
2:1
Mar 23, 2022 Friendly International
Philippines vs Malaysia
0:2
Mar 22, 2017 Friendly International
Philippines vs Malaysia
0:0
Apr 27, 2014 Friendly International
Philippines vs Malaysia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malaysia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunalan P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Philippines Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malaysia 30 / 100
Philippines 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malaysia Philippines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippines let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Malaysia scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

Malaysia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Philippines registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Malaysia VS Philippines
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Malaysia

(Home)
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
01 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Malaysia
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
31 Mar
Vietnam
3 : 1
Malaysia
Page 1 of 5

Philippines

(Away)
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1
Thailand
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
09 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Myanmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
2 Malaysia 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Myanmar 4 2 0 2 12:7 6
4 Philippines 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)