Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Malchower vs CFC Hertha

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019 game between Malchower and CFC Hertha finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CFC Hertha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Malchower
15%
Draws
59%
CFC Hertha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CFC Hertha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CFC Hertha come out ahead of Malchower on wins alone.
  • CFC Hertha are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CFC Hertha have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Malchower Clean Sheet 18%
CFC Hertha Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malchower CFC Hertha
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 27 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.9 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2019 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs CFC Hertha
2:3
Aug 12, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
CFC Hertha vs Malchower
2:1
Apr 28, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs CFC Hertha
1:2
Oct 31, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
CFC Hertha vs Malchower
6:5
Jun 3, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
CFC Hertha vs Malchower
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malchower 10 / 100
CFC Hertha 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malchower CFC Hertha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFC Hertha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CFC Hertha has conceded goals in 92% of their last 25 outings.

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Malchower scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Malchower remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malchower VS CFC Hertha
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malchower

(Home)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
Page 1 of 6

CFC Hertha

(Away)
04 Feb
CFC Hertha
2 : 1
Sparta Lichtenberg
28 Jan
CFC Hertha
2 : 2
Lichtenberg
07 Jan
Hertha Berlin II
3 : 1
CFC Hertha
25 Nov
Rostocker FC
1 : 0
CFC Hertha
12 Nov
CFC Hertha
4 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lichtenberg 30 23 5 2 69:12 74
2 TB Berlin 30 21 4 5 76:27 67
3 Greifswalder FC 30 18 5 7 67:44 59
4 Hertha Zehlendorf 30 16 7 7 64:33 55
5 Hansa Rostock II 30 16 7 7 69:39 55
6 Blau Weiss Berlin 30 13 5 12 58:39 44
7 Altludersdorf 30 13 2 15 50:61 41
8 SC Staaken 30 10 8 12 56:52 38
9 Torgelower Greif 30 10 8 12 44:48 38
10 TSG Neustrelitz 30 10 7 13 37:46 37
11 CFC Hertha 30 12 1 17 45:67 37
12 Stendal 30 11 2 17 42:72 35
13 Strausberg 30 10 3 17 42:64 33
14 Brandenburger 30 9 5 16 52:64 32
15 Wismar 30 8 8 14 25:47 32
16 Malchower 30 1 1 28 28:109 4
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2019/2020 (Main)