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Malchower vs Lichtenrader

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010
Malchower Logo

Malchower

5 - 3
FT
Lichtenrader Logo

Lichtenrader

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malchower in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malchower.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Malchower
15%
Draws
49%
Lichtenrader
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lichtenrader

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lichtenrader lately — more wins on the board than Malchower.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Lichtenrader taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Malchower Clean Sheet 10%
Lichtenrader Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malchower Lichtenrader
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 28 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 3.88 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2010 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Lichtenrader
5:3
Nov 22, 2009 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenrader vs Malchower
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malchower 10 / 100
Lichtenrader 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malchower Lichtenrader

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lichtenrader Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lichtenrader conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Lichtenrader has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Malchower's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Malchower VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
4.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Malchower

(Home)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
Page 1 of 7

Lichtenrader

(Away)
13 Jun
FC Gera 03
2 : 0
Lichtenrader
06 Jun
Lichtenrader
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
29 May
Schoneiche
5 : 2
Lichtenrader
22 May
Lichtenrader
2 : 0
Rathenow
12 May
Malchower
5 : 3
Lichtenrader
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cottbus II 30 20 6 4 67:26 66
2 BFC Dynamo 30 17 7 6 70:40 58
3 Brandenburger 30 15 8 7 57:40 53
4 Luckenwalde 30 16 5 9 56:43 53
5 Malchower 30 15 8 7 47:35 53
6 TSG Neustrelitz 30 16 4 10 70:38 52
7 Rathenow 30 13 6 11 43:46 45
8 Torgelower Greif 30 12 8 10 46:35 44
9 Schoneiche 30 11 9 10 45:39 42
10 Berliner AK 07 30 12 6 12 53:51 42
11 Ludwigsfelder 30 10 6 14 42:52 36
12 LFC Berlin 30 8 8 14 40:51 32
13 Reinickendorfer 30 10 2 18 26:46 32
14 Lichtenrader 30 7 3 20 31:79 24
15 Greifswalder FC 30 6 5 19 38:66 23
16 SV Falkensee-Finkenkrug 30 4 5 21 25:69 17
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2009/2010 (Main)