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Malchower vs Rathenow

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Januario K.
57' Event
Kringel R.
61' Event
Buchholz M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Malchower and Rathenow finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malchower.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Malchower
15%
Draws
59%
Rathenow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rathenow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rathenow come out ahead of Malchower on wins alone.
  • Rathenow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Malchower Clean Sheet 20%
Rathenow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malchower Rathenow
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 2 9
Draws 1 12
Losses 27 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.34
Goals Conceded 3.9 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Malchower vs Rathenow
4:2
Jun 3, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Rathenow vs Malchower
3:1
Dec 9, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Rathenow
0:4
Mar 4, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Rathenow
1:5
Aug 27, 2016 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Rathenow vs Malchower
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malchower Compare

Top Goalscorer Kringel R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buchholz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Rathenow Compare

Top Goalscorer Januario K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beyazit A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malchower 10 / 100
Rathenow 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malchower Rathenow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rathenow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rathenow let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Malchower scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Malchower went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rathenow
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malchower

(Home)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
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Rathenow

(Away)
19 Sept
Rathenow
0 : 3
Hertha Zehlendorf
13 Sept
Klosterfelde
0 : 2
Rathenow
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
15 Aug
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Rathenow
08 Aug
Rathenow
0 : 0
Berliner AK 07
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