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Maldives U23 vs Bahrain U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Alshirah A.
55' Event
Mohamed Q.
70' Event
Fadhel Al Asfoor A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Bahrain U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Maldives U23
15%
Draws
0%
Bahrain U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maldives U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bahrain U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Maldives U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Bahrain U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahrain U23, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bahrain U23 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Maldives U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Bahrain U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldives U23 Bahrain U23
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.73 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Maldives U23 vs Bahrain U23
0:3
Jan 16, 2016 Bangabandhu Gold Cup
Bahrain U23 vs Maldives U23
1:1
Mar 25, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Maldives U23 vs Bahrain U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldives U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Bahrain U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alshirah A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohamed Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldives U23 58 / 100
Bahrain U23 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldives U23 Bahrain U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldives U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahrain U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Difficult form: Bahrain U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Maldives U23 scored in 46% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bahrain U23
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldives U23

(Home)
28 Oct
Maldives U23
0 : 3
Bahrain U23
25 Oct
Iraq U23
4 : 0
Maldives U23
07 Dec
Nepal U23
2 : 1
Maldives U23
05 Dec
Bhutan U23
2 : 1
Maldives U23
03 Dec
Bangladesh U23
1 : 1
Maldives U23
Page 1 of 6

Bahrain U23

(Away)
11 Dec
Bahrain U23
1 : 2
Kuwait U23
08 Dec
Bahrain U23
0 : 1
Qatar U23
05 Dec
Saudi Arabia U23
5 : 0
Bahrain U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0
Bahrain U23
15 Nov
Bahrain U23
0 : 2
Russia U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Syria U23 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 Yemen U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Tajikistan U23 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Bahrain U23 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Maldives U23 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
4 Afghanistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kuwait U23 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Bangladesh U23 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 India U23 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Oman U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Turkmenistan U23 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Palestine U23 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Indonesia U23 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
3 China U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Brunei U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Singapore U23 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Myanmar U23 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Chinese Taipei U23 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
2 Thailand U23 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Laos U23 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Cambodia U23 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 Hong Kong U23 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)