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Maldives U23 vs Cambodia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Bangabandhu Gold Cup 2016
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Match Events

4' Event
Easa I.
14' Event
Sun V.
37' Event
Naiz H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Maldives U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Maldives U23
20%
Draws
70%
Cambodia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cambodia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Cambodia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cambodia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maldives U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Maldives U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldives U23 Cambodia
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.73 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2016 Bangabandhu Gold Cup
Maldives U23 vs Cambodia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldives U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Naiz H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Easa I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Cambodia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sun V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tit D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldives U23 36 / 100
Cambodia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldives U23 Cambodia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambodia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Cambodia has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Maldives U23's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Recent resilience: Maldives U23 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cambodia
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldives U23

(Home)
28 Oct
Maldives U23
0 : 3
Bahrain U23
25 Oct
Iraq U23
4 : 0
Maldives U23
07 Dec
Nepal U23
2 : 1
Maldives U23
05 Dec
Bhutan U23
2 : 1
Maldives U23
03 Dec
Bangladesh U23
1 : 1
Maldives U23
Page 1 of 6

Cambodia

(Away)
03 Oct
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Cambodia
30 Sept
Timor-Leste
2 : 2
Cambodia
27 Sept
Cambodia
1 : 0
Myanmar
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 Nepal 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Sri Lanka 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 FELDA 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
Promotion - Bangabandhu Gold Cup 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Bangabandhu Gold Cup 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldives U23 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Bahrain U23 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Cambodia 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - Bangabandhu Gold Cup 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Bangabandhu Gold Cup 2016 (Play Offs)