Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maldives vs Afghanistan

World World

Friendly International National Stadium, Male
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Fazi R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Maldives and Afghanistan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afghanistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Maldives
20%
Draws
64%
Afghanistan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afghanistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Maldives carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Maldives Clean Sheet 22%
Afghanistan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldives Afghanistan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.86 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Friendly International
Maldives vs Afghanistan
0:1
Jun 6, 2017 Friendly International
Afghanistan vs Maldives
2:1
Dec 28, 2015 SAFF Championship
Afghanistan vs Maldives
4:1
May 29, 2014 AFC Challenge Cup
Afghanistan vs Maldives
1:2
Sep 6, 2013 SAFF Championship
Afghanistan vs Maldives
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldives Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Afghanistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Fazi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldives 32 / 100
Afghanistan 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldives Afghanistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afghanistan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afghanistan has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Afghanistan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Maldives's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Maldives VS Afghanistan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldives

(Home)
28 Sept
Kyrgyzstan
5 : 0
Maldives
24 Sept
China
3 : 0
Maldives
07 Jun
Maldives
1 : 1
Bangladesh U23
04 Jun
Maldives
0 : 3
Pakistan
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1
Afghanistan
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Afghanistan

(Away)
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
04 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1
Afghanistan
31 Mar
Syria
5 : 1
Afghanistan
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