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Maldives vs Pakistan

World World

Friendly International National Stadium, Male
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Nawaz U.
84' Event
Arshad A.
Assist: Khan O.
87' Event
Hamid H.
Assist: Iqbal A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Maldives and Pakistan finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pakistan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Maldives
20%
Draws
73%
Pakistan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pakistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maldives come out ahead of Pakistan on wins alone.
  • Pakistan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Maldives Clean Sheet 15%
Pakistan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldives Pakistan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.86 0.46
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Friendly International
Maldives vs Pakistan
0:3
Mar 21, 2023 Friendly International
Maldives vs Pakistan
1:0
Feb 14, 2013 Friendly International
Maldives vs Pakistan
3:0
Feb 12, 2013 Friendly International
Maldives vs Pakistan
1:1
Dec 4, 2011 SAFF Championship
Maldives vs Pakistan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldives Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Pakistan Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawaz U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arshad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldives 10 / 100
Pakistan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldives Pakistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakistan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pakistan has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Maldives scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Maldives went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maldives VS Pakistan
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldives

(Home)
28 Sept
Kyrgyzstan
5 : 0
Maldives
24 Sept
China
3 : 0
Maldives
07 Jun
Maldives
1 : 1
Bangladesh U23
04 Jun
Maldives
0 : 3
Pakistan
01 Jun
Maldives
0 : 1
Afghanistan
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Pakistan

(Away)
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4
Thailand
10 Jun
Pakistan
2 : 0
Afghanistan
07 Jun
Afghanistan
0 : 2
Pakistan
04 Jun
Maldives
0 : 3
Pakistan
01 Jun
Pakistan
0 : 0
Bangladesh U23
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