Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maldonado vs Albion

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tabo C.
Penalty Missed
32'
Cesar R.
33'
Burdin E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Maldonado and Albion finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Maldonado
15%
Draws
21%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maldonado come out ahead of Albion on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Maldonado taking it.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Albion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldonado Albion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Albion
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Albion
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda Division
Albion vs Maldonado
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Albion
0:1
Oct 24, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Maldonado
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Airala C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 95 / 100
Albion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldonado Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldonado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldonado found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Albion conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Maldonado remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Albion
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldonado

(Home)
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0
Central Esp.
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Maldonado
23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Maldonado
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Cerro Largo
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Maldonado
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Albion

(Away)
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1
Albion
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Montevideo 15 9 4 2 23:14 31
2 Maldonado 15 9 2 4 24:16 29
3 Albion 15 8 4 3 26:16 28
4 Penarol 15 8 3 4 23:16 27
5 Central Esp. 15 7 3 5 23:22 24
6 Montevideo City 15 6 5 4 22:16 23
7 Club Nacional 15 7 1 7 26:21 22
8 Defensor Sp. 15 5 6 4 13:11 21
9 Liverpool M. 15 5 5 5 20:18 20
10 Wanderers 15 6 2 7 16:21 20
11 Danubio 15 4 6 5 17:21 18
12 Cerro Largo 15 5 2 8 16:19 17
13 Boston River 15 5 2 8 14:20 17
14 Juventud 15 4 3 8 17:22 15
15 Progreso 15 2 4 9 12:23 10
16 CA Cerro 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)