Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maldonado vs Albion

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tabo C.
Penalty Missed
32'
Cesar R.
33'
Burdin E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Maldonado and Albion finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Maldonado
11%
Draws
9%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maldonado come out ahead of Albion on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Maldonado taking it.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Albion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldonado Albion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Albion
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Albion
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Segunda Division
Albion vs Maldonado
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Albion
0:1
Oct 24, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Maldonado
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Airala C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 86 / 100
Albion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldonado Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldonado found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Albion conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Maldonado remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Albion
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldonado

(Home)
18 Jul
Progreso
1 : 0
Maldonado
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
06 Jun
Montevideo City
2 : 4
Maldonado
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0
Club Nacional
24 May
Wanderers
1 : 1
Maldonado
Page 1 of 6

Albion

(Away)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
07 Jun
Progreso
1 : 2
Albion
31 May
Albion
1 : 2
Montevideo City
23 May
Club Nacional
1 : 0
Albion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo1594223:1431
2Maldonado1592424:1629
3Albion1584326:1628
4Penarol1583423:1627
5Central Esp.1573523:2224
6Montevideo City1565422:1623
7Club Nacional1571726:2122
8Defensor Sp.1556413:1121
9Liverpool M.1555520:1820
10Wanderers1562716:2120
11Danubio1546517:2118
12Cerro Largo1552816:1917
13Boston River1552814:2017
14Juventud1543817:2215
15Progreso1524912:2310
16CA Cerro152498:2410
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)