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Maldonado vs Juventud

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maldonado host Juventud in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Maldonado at 1.88 goals for, 0.88 against; Juventud at 1.63 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Juventud slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.25) point toward Maldonado. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Maldonado
6%
Draws
4%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maldonado come out ahead of Juventud on wins alone.
  • Maldonado are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maldonado Juventud
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Juventud
2:1
Jul 28, 2018 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Juventud
0:1
Mar 3, 2018 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Maldonado
2:0
Feb 25, 2012 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Maldonado
0:0
Oct 1, 2011 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Juventud
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maldonado 95 / 100
Juventud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maldonado Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldonado's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Juventud let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Maldonado has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maldonado VS Juventud
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maldonado

(Home)
18 Jul
Progreso
1 : 0
Maldonado
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
06 Jun
Montevideo City
2 : 4
Maldonado
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0
Club Nacional
24 May
Wanderers
1 : 1
Maldonado
Page 1 of 6

Juventud

(Away)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol64119:313
2Cerro Largo63217:211
3CA Cerro63035:89
4Liverpool M.62225:58
5Central Esp.62224:48
6Racing Montevideo61413:37
7Boston River61235:95
8Defensor Sp.60334:83
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wanderers633010:412
2Montevideo City640211:912
3Maldonado632112:611
4Club Nacional63126:710
5Juventud62138:117
6Progreso62045:96
7Albion61234:65
8Danubio60333:73
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)