Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Cecchini E.
43'
43'
Sub
Cecchini E. In: Perez F.
Out: Cecchini E.
47'
47'
Tealde F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Maldonado and Juventud finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
30%
30%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maldonado
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Maldonado come out ahead of Juventud on wins alone.
- Maldonado are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maldonado | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Maldonado
2:0
Aug 1, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Juventud
0:0
Mar 2, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Maldonado vs Juventud
2:1
Jul 28, 2018 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Juventud
0:1
Mar 3, 2018 Segunda Division
Juventud vs Maldonado
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maldonado 50 / 100
Juventud 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maldonado Juventud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maldonado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maldonado's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Juventud let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Maldonado has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Maldonado VS Juventud
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Maldonado
(Home) 03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0 Central Esp.
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2 Maldonado
23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2 Maldonado
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Cerro Largo
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Maldonado
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0 Central Esp.
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Cerro Largo
09 Sept
Maldonado
4 : 1 Wanderers
05 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Wanderers
22 Aug
Maldonado
0 : 0 Penarol
Page 1 of 3
Juventud
(Away) 04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0 Juventud
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0 CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3 Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0 Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Boston River
0 : 0 Juventud
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3 Juventud
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0 Juventud
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Juventud
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
