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Mali Coura vs US Bougouni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Mali Coura Logo

Mali Coura

2 - 0
FT
US Bougouni Logo

US Bougouni

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mali Coura in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mali Coura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Mali Coura
20%
Draws
30%
US Bougouni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali Coura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to US Bougouni lately — more wins on the board than Mali Coura.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Mali Coura taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mali Coura Clean Sheet 68%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali Coura US Bougouni
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.74 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Mali Coura vs US Bougouni
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Mali Coura
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali Coura 95 / 100
US Bougouni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali Coura US Bougouni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali Coura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: US Bougouni conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Mali Coura has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

US Bougouni lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mali Coura VS US Bougouni
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali Coura

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
Mali Coura
1 : 1
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 6

US Bougouni

(Away)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)