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Mali U17 vs Angola U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Stade municipal de Berrechid, Berrechid
Mali U17 Logo

Mali U17

2 - 1
FT
Angola U17 Logo

Angola U17

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bomba N.
Assist: Dembele S.
45'
Doumbia M.
45' Event
Puna J.
Assist: Lourenco
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mali U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mali U17
30%
Draws
31%
Angola U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mali U17 lately — more wins on the board than Angola U17.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Mali U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U17, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mali U17 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 19%
Angola U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U17 Angola U17
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.06 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.12 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Angola U17
0:0
Apr 1, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Angola U17
2:1
May 21, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Angola U17
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bomba N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coulibaly S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 1.06

Angola U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Puna J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U17 31 / 100
Angola U17 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U17 Angola U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U17 scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Angola U17 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Mali U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali U17 VS Angola U17
2.63 Goals Scored 1.6
1 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U17

(Home)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
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Angola U17

(Away)
20 May
Angola U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
17 May
Angola U17
0 : 3
Tanzania U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
12 Apr
Egypt U17
2 : 1
Angola U17
07 Apr
Angola U17
6 : 1
Central Africa U17
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Zambia U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Uganda U17 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U17 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 South Africa U17 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Egypt U17 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Cameroon U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U17 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Senegal U17 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Gambia U17 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Somalia U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Angola U17 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Central Africa U17 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)