Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U17 vs Benin U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Sat, Aug 2, 2014
0 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2015. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Mali U17 at 1.82 goals for, 0.91 against; Benin U17 at 1.27 for, 0.91 against. Head-to-head, Mali U17 have won 0 to Benin U17's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2014, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.13, favoring Mali U17. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mali U17
35%
Draws
19%
Benin U17
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mali U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mali U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Mali U17 taking it.
  • Mali U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Benin U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U17 Benin U17
Matches Played 34 11
Wins 21 2
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.82 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Benin U17
0:0
Jul 19, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Benin U17 vs Mali U17
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U17 40 / 100
Benin U17 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U17 Benin U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U17 scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Benin U17 conceded in 64% of 11 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mali U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Benin U17's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali U17 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U17

(Home)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 7

Benin U17

(Away)
20 Aug
Ivory Coast U17
3 : 1
Benin U17
07 Aug
Benin U17
1 : 1
Ivory Coast U17
02 Aug
Mali U17
0 : 0
Benin U17
19 Jul
Benin U17
1 : 0
Mali U17
02 Dec
Benin U17
1 : 1
Gabon U17
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Botswana U17 -
Rwanda U17 -
TBD -
Seychelles U17 1
Uganda U17 5
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Burundi U17 -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Guinea U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
Morocco U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
Guinea-Bissau U17 -
Togo U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
Central Africa U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
South Sudan U17 -
Kenya U17 -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Namibia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 -
Mauritania U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania U17 -
Congo U17 -
TBD -
Sudan U17 3
Egypt U17 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Zambia U17 6
Botswana U17 0
Rwanda U17 2
Uganda U17 7
Gabon U17 3
Ethiopia U17 0
D.R. Congo U17 0
Nigeria U17 5
Guinea U17 3
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Togo U17 1
Cameroon U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 0
South Sudan U17 -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 3
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 7
Benin U17 1
Mali U17 0
Sierra Leone U17 -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 4
Tanzania U17 0
Congo U17 1
Egypt U17 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Zambia U17 4
Uganda U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Nigeria U17 6
Guinea U17 4
Togo U17 0
Cameroon U17 4
Ghana U17 6
Angola U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 4
Mali U17 5
Tunisia U17 1
South Africa U17 4
Egypt U17 3
TBD -
TBD -