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Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Tapsoba A.
67' Event
Bomba N.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Mali U17 and Burkina Faso U17 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mali U17
40%
Draws
29%
Burkina Faso U17
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Burkina Faso U17 haven't matched Mali U17's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Burkina Faso U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U17 Burkina Faso U17
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 3 1
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2025 Friendly International
Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
5:2
Apr 15, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Burkina Faso U17 vs Mali U17
0:2
Feb 24, 2025 Friendly International
Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Friendly International
Mali U17 vs Burkina Faso U17
0:2
May 18, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Burkina Faso U17 vs Mali U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bomba N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Burkina Faso U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapsoba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U17 32 / 100
Burkina Faso U17 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U17 Burkina Faso U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U17 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Burkina Faso U17 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mali U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali U17 VS Burkina Faso U17
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U17

(Home)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
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Burkina Faso U17

(Away)
21 Nov
Italy U17
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
15 Nov
Germany U17
0 : 1
Burkina Faso U17
11 Nov
Burkina Faso U17
2 : 0
Tajikistan U17
08 Nov
Czech Republic U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
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