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Mali U17 vs Nigeria U17

World World

World Cup U17 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ebere C.
Penalty Missed
38'
Enogela D.
46'
Sub
Ebere C. In: Madueke C.
Out: Ebere C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Nigeria U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mali U17
30%
Draws
31%
Nigeria U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mali U17 come out ahead of Nigeria U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mali U17's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Mali U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria U17, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Nigeria U17 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 18%
Nigeria U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U17 Nigeria U17
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2 1.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.58 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2015 World Cup U17
Mali U17 vs Nigeria U17
0:2
Dec 2, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Nigeria U17
0:2
Nov 18, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Nigeria U17 vs Mali U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.98
Avg xA / game 1.29

Nigeria U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osimhen V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bamgboye F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U17 67 / 100
Nigeria U17 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U17 Nigeria U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U17's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Nigeria U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mali U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mali U17 VS Nigeria U17
2.5 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U17

(Home)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 7

Nigeria U17

(Away)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
Australia U17
4 : 2
Nigeria U17
05 Jul
Nigeria U17
2 : 3
Tanzania U17
11 May
Nigeria U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
06 May
South Africa U17
2 : 3
Nigeria U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Croatia U17 2
Germany U17 0
Mali U17 3
North Korea U17 0
South Korea U17 0
Belgium U17 2
France U17 0
Costa Rica U17 1
Russia U17 1
Ecuador U17 4
Mexico U17 4
Chile U17 1
Brazil U17 1
New Zealand U17 0
Nigeria U17 6
Australia U17 0
Quarter-finals
Croatia U17 0
Mali U17 1
Belgium U17 1
Costa Rica U17 0
Ecuador U17 0
Mexico U17 2
Brazil U17 0
Nigeria U17 3
Semi-finals
Mali U17 3
Belgium U17 1
Mexico U17 2
Nigeria U17 4
Final
Mali U17 0
Nigeria U17 2
Belgium U17 3
Mexico U17 2