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Mali U20 vs Burundi U20

Africa Africa

African Games 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The African Games 2019 game between Mali U20 and Burundi U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mali U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mali U20
15%
Draws
34%
Burundi U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mali U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Mali U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mali U20 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Burundi U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U20 Burundi U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2019 African Games
Mali U20 vs Burundi U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U20 48 / 100
Burundi U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U20 Burundi U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U20 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Burundi U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mali U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mali U20 VS Burundi U20
1.43 Goals Scored 1.25
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U20

(Home)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Burundi U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Tanzania U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U20 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Morocco U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 South Africa U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - African Games 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Senegal U20 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Ghana U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Burundi U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - African Games 2019 (Play Offs)