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Mali U20 vs Ghana U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Drame H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Mali U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mali U20
20%
Draws
29%
Ghana U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ghana U20 haven't matched Mali U20's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Mali U20 taking it.
  • Mali U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mali U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Ghana U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U20 Ghana U20
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2019 African Games
Mali U20 vs Ghana U20
4:2
Feb 9, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Mali U20 vs Ghana U20
1:0
Jun 10, 2015 World Cup U20
Ghana U20 vs Mali U20
0:3
Mar 22, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ghana U20 vs Mali U20
3:1
Mar 15, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ghana U20 vs Mali U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Drame H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ghana U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U20 36 / 100
Ghana U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U20 Ghana U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U20's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ghana U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mali U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mali U20 VS Ghana U20
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U20

(Home)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
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Ghana U20

(Away)
02 Aug
Ghana U20
0 : 0
Togo U20
30 Jul
Ghana U20
1 : 1
Burkina Faso U20
27 Jul
Nigeria U20
4 : 2
Ghana U20
23 Jul
Ghana U20
2 : 0
Niger U20
20 Jul
Ghana U20
1 : 2
Ivory Coast U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria U20 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 South Africa U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Niger U20 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
4 Burundi U20 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Mali U20 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Ghana U20 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Burkina Faso U20 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019 (Play Offs)