Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U23 vs Cameroon U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Kilama G.
28'
Kamate F.
42'
Bagayoko S.

AI Match Summary

Cameroon U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mali U23
6%
Draws
4%
Cameroon U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mali U23 have won more games recently than Cameroon U23.
  • Win probability leans Mali U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mali U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cameroon U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Cameroon U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U23 Cameroon U23
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 vs Cameroon U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cameroon U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Evina F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U23 95 / 100
Cameroon U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U23 Cameroon U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U23 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Mali U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Cameroon U23 conceded in 68% of 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mali U23 VS Cameroon U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Cameroon U23

(Away)
28 Mar
Cameroon U23
1 : 1
Gabon U23
25 Mar
Gabon U23
1 : 0
Cameroon U23
30 Oct
Cameroon U23
0 : 0
Angola U23
22 Oct
Angola U23
2 : 3
Cameroon U23
12 Aug
Cameroon U23
0 : 2
Senegal U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt U2333006:39
2Ghana U2331115:44
3Cameroon U2331113:34
4Mali U2330030:40
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ivory Coast U2332012:16
2South Africa U2331201:05
3Nigeria U2331113:24
4Zambia U2330121:41
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 (Play Offs)