Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali U23 vs Gabon U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Essogo E.
(Penalty)
18'
Essogo E.
20' Event
Sangare M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Mali U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mali U23
6%
Draws
4%
Gabon U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mali U23 lately — more wins on the board than Gabon U23.
  • Model gives Mali U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Mali U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Gabon U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U23 Gabon U23
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 14 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 vs Gabon U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tamboura A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gabon U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U23 95 / 100
Gabon U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U23 Gabon U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali U23 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Mali U23 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gabon U23 let in goals in 67% of their last 12 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali U23 VS Gabon U23
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

Gabon U23

(Away)
01 Jul
Gabon U23
0 : 2
Egypt U23
28 Jun
Gabon U23
0 : 1
Niger U23
25 Jun
Mali U23
3 : 1
Gabon U23
28 Mar
Cameroon U23
1 : 1
Gabon U23
25 Mar
Gabon U23
1 : 0
Cameroon U23
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco U2333008:29
2Guinea U2331115:44
3Ghana U2331115:84
4Congo U2330033:70
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt U2332103:07
2Mali U2332015:26
3Niger U2331111:24
4Gabon U2330031:60
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 (Play Offs)