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Mali U23 vs Mali U20

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Traore F.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Mali U23 and Mali U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mali U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mali U23
6%
Draws
4%
Mali U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mali U20 have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Mali U23 are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Model gives Mali U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Mali U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali U23 Mali U20
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Friendly International
Mali U23 vs Mali U20
1:0
Jul 2, 2024 Friendly International
Mali U23 vs Mali U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mali U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali U23 85 / 100
Mali U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali U23 Mali U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mali U23 scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Mali U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Mali U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mali U23 VS Mali U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.67
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali U23

(Home)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
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Mali U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Mali U20
3 : 2
Japan U20
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 3
Mali U20
06 Jun
France U20
1 : 2
Mali U20
03 Jun
Mali U20
1 : 2
Panama U20
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
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