Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Mali carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Mali taking it.
- Mali have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Mali Clean Sheet 20%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mali | Mauritania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.52 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 29, 2024 African Nations Championship
Mali vs Mauritania
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Mali
1:0
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Mali
0:2
Jan 24, 2023 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Mali
1:0
Aug 18, 2022 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Mali
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mali 36 / 100
Mauritania 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mali Mauritania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mali went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Mali's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Mauritania let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Mali VS Mauritania
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mali
(Home) 04 Oct
Morocco
1 : 1 Mali
29 Sept
Liberia
0 : 1 Mali
25 Sept
Mali
3 : 1 Cape Verde
04 Jun
Iran
2 : 0 Mali
31 Mar
Russia
0 : 0 Mali
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25 Sept
Mali
3 : 1 Cape Verde
09 Jan
Mali
0 : 1 Senegal
03 Jan
Mali
2 : 1 Tunisia
22 Dec
Mali
1 : 1 Zambia
12 Oct
Mali
4 : 1 Madagascar
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Mauritania
(Away) 29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1 Mauritania
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1 Central Africa
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1 Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1 Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1 Mauritania
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29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1 Mauritania
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1 Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1 Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1 Mauritania
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0 Mauritania
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Sierra Leone 2
Liberia 3
TBD -
Senegal -
Mauritania -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali -
Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Guinea Bissau -
Togo 3
Benin 1
TBD -
Niger -
Ivory Coast -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso -
Ghana -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria -
Equatorial Guinea -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo -
Central Africa -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon -
Chad -
TBD -
TBD -
D.R. Congo -
Burundi 6
Somalia 0
TBD -
Uganda -
Ethiopia 6
Eritrea 0
Sudan 2
Tanzania 1
South Sudan 3
Kenya 1
Djibouti 1
Rwanda 3
Zimbabwe 0
Eswatini 4
TBD -
Madagascar -
Lesotho 2
Namibia 1
TBD -
Angola -
Mozambique -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia -
Final
Liberia 1
Senegal 4
Mauritania 1
Mali 0
Guinea 6
Guinea Bissau 2
Togo 1
Niger 1
Ivory Coast 2
Burkina Faso 3
Ghana 1
Nigeria 3
Equatorial Guinea 1
Congo 2
Central Africa 2
Cameroon 2
Chad 2
D.R. Congo 4
Burundi 0
Uganda 2
Ethiopia 1
Sudan 4
South Sudan 4
Rwanda 4
Eswatini 1
Madagascar 2
Lesotho 1
Angola 2
Mozambique 0
Zambia 6
