Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali W vs Ghana W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Moulay Rachid Stadium, Casablanca
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations Women. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Ghana W have shipped 0.25 goals a game lately, while Mali W have conceded 1.25 and scored 0.75. Head-to-head, Mali W have won 1 to Ghana W's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 1.44, favoring Ghana W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Mali W
11%
Draws
80%
Ghana W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ghana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ghana W come out ahead of Mali W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ghana W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Ghana W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghana W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mali W Clean Sheet 16%
Ghana W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali W Ghana W
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ghana W vs Mali W
1:1
Nov 20, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ghana W vs Mali W
1:2
Nov 26, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Ghana W
1:3
Jan 29, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ghana W vs Mali W
5:0
Jan 15, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Ghana W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali W 11 / 100
Ghana W 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali W Ghana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Mali W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Mali W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ghana W let in goals in 56% of their last 25 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali W VS Ghana W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali W

(Home)
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
04 Jun
Burkina Faso W
0 : 0
Mali W
17 Apr
Morocco W
1 : 1
Mali W
Page 1 of 6

Ghana W

(Away)
29 Jul
Ghana W
2 : 0
Cape Verde W
23 Jul
Malawi W
0 : 4
Ghana W
20 Jul
Ghana W
0 : 0
Tanzania W
14 Jul
Ivory Coast W
0 : 1
Ghana W
05 Jun
Ghana W
4 : 0
Ampem Darkoa W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco W11004:03
2Algeria W11002:03
3Senegal W10010:20
4Kenya W10010:40
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ivory Coast W11004:13
2Tanzania W11002:13
3South Africa W10011:20
4Burkina Faso W10011:40
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia W11006:03
2Malawi W11003:23
3Nigeria W10012:30
4Egypt W10010:60
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ghana W00000:00
2Cameroon W00000:00
3Mali W00000:00
4Cape Verde W00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)