Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mali W vs Ghana W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Moulay Rachid Stadium, Casablanca
Mali W Logo

Mali W

1 - 1
FT
Ghana W Logo

Ghana W

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Karentao F. In: Liberge A.
Out: Karentao F.
32'
Traore S.
45' Event
Badu E.
Assist: Yeboah C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mali W
30%
Draws
41%
Ghana W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ghana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ghana W come out ahead of Mali W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mali W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Ghana W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ghana W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mali W Clean Sheet 20%
Ghana W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali W Ghana W
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.16 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Ghana W
1:1
Jul 11, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ghana W vs Mali W
1:1
Nov 20, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ghana W vs Mali W
1:2
Nov 26, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Ghana W
1:3
Jan 29, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ghana W vs Mali W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Diabate K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Ghana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Badu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali W 42 / 100
Ghana W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali W Ghana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Mali W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Mali W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ghana W let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mali W VS Ghana W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali W

(Home)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
Page 1 of 7

Ghana W

(Away)
13 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Ghana W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Ghana W
0 : 1
Cameroon W
29 Jul
Ghana W
2 : 0
Cape Verde W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)