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Mali W vs Senegal W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mali W in this Friendly International Women 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mali W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mali W
30%
Draws
41%
Senegal W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Senegal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Senegal W lately — more wins on the board than Mali W.
  • Model gives Mali W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mali W Clean Sheet 19%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mali W Senegal W
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 12 20
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.09 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Senegal W
1:1
Feb 16, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs Mali W
1:0
Feb 19, 2018 Friendly International Women
Mali W vs Senegal W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mali W 42 / 100
Senegal W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mali W Senegal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mali W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Mali W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Senegal W has conceded goals in 45% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mali W VS Senegal W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mali W

(Home)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
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Senegal W

(Away)
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
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