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Mallorca B vs Castillo CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009
Mallorca B Logo

Mallorca B

1 - 0
FT
Castillo CF Logo

Castillo CF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mallorca B in this Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mallorca B
30%
Draws
37%
Castillo CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castillo CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Mallorca B have won more games recently than Castillo CF.
  • Model gives Mallorca B a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Mallorca B have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mallorca B, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mallorca B Clean Sheet 19%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mallorca B Castillo CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 5 14
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Mallorca B vs Castillo CF
1:0
Jun 21, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Castillo CF vs Mallorca B
2:1
May 1, 2005 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Castillo CF vs Mallorca B
1:0
Dec 5, 2004 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Mallorca B vs Castillo CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca B 58 / 100
Castillo CF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mallorca B Castillo CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mallorca B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mallorca B scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Castillo CF conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Mallorca B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca B VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mallorca B

(Home)
15 Aug
Mallorca B
1 : 3
Baleares
29 Jul
Mallorca B
1 : 0
Sant Andreu
25 Jul
Baleares
2 : 1
Mallorca B
09 May
Manacor
1 : 1
Mallorca B
03 May
Mallorca B
7 : 0
Mercadal
Page 1 of 6

Castillo CF

(Away)
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3
Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2
Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1
Teror
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Binissalem 1
Reus FC Reddis 0
TBD -
Atletico Monzon -
Villanovense 3
Teruel 3
TBD -
San Roque de Lepe -
Los Barrios 3
Manchego Ciudad Real 2
Mensajero 1
Amurrio Club 4
CD Tropezon 5
Candas CF 2
TBD -
C. Reyes -
CD Ourense 5
Tudelano 2
Portugalete 3
Universidad Oviedo 6
CD Alcala 2
Moratalla 0
TBD -
Caravaca -
Castillo CF 4
Anguiano 2
Llanes 0
Alicante II 1
Don Benito 1
Parla 1
TBD -
Mallorca B -
La Nucia 4
Motril 2
TBD -
Lagun Onak -
Real Avila 1
Almeria B 1
TBD -
RSD Alcala -
Cartagena La Union 2
Rayo Majadahonda 1
Mexico 1
SD Noja 3
Hellin Deportivo 1
Montaneros 0
TBD -
Izarra -
Burgos CF 2
Elgoibar 1
Mutilvera 0
Mahones 1
Malaga B 2
UD Almansa 1
TBD -
Tenerife B -
Torrevieja 1
Haro Deportivo 2
Yeclano 1
Cacereno 3
UM Escobedo 3
Zaragoza B 4
Santboia 0
SD Tenisca 1
L Hospitalet 3
Santanyi 4
CD Calahorra 0
Jerez Industrial 3
La Muela 2
Mirandes 7
Cerceda 2
Pena 3
Semi-finals
Binissalem 1
Atletico Monzon 0
Villanovense 2
San Roque de Lepe 5
Los Barrios 5
Amurrio Club 5
CD Tropezon 2
C. Reyes 3
CD Ourense 3
Universidad Oviedo 2
CD Alcala 0
Caravaca 4
Castillo CF 4
Alicante II 1
Don Benito 0
Mallorca B 3
La Nucia 1
Lagun Onak 1
Real Avila 3
RSD Alcala 5
Cartagena La Union 0
SD Noja 1
Hellin Deportivo 2
Izarra 2
Burgos CF 2
Mahones 3
Malaga B 5
Tenerife B 5
Haro Deportivo 1
Cacereno 4
Zaragoza B 2
SD Tenisca 3
Santanyi 0
Jerez Industrial 3
Mirandes 5
Pena 0
Final
Binissalem 1
San Roque de Lepe 2
Los Barrios 0
C. Reyes 2
CD Ourense 2
Caravaca 3
Castillo CF 2
Mallorca B 2
La Nucia 0
RSD Alcala 2
SD Noja 1
Izarra 2
Mahones 3
Tenerife B 1
Cacereno 3
SD Tenisca 0
Jerez Industrial 2
Mirandes 4