Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mallorca vs Lyon

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Kufstein Arena, Kufstein
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Abner Vinicius
19' Event
Mikautadze G.
27' Event
Abner Vinicius

AI Match Summary

Lyon in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mallorca
15%
Draws
27%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mallorca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lyon lately — more wins on the board than Mallorca.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Mallorca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 15%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mallorca Lyon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Mallorca vs Lyon
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mallorca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Abner Vinicius
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mikautadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca 84 / 100
Lyon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mallorca Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mallorca went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mallorca's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lyon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca VS Lyon
2 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mallorca

(Home)
08 Aug
Mallorca
1 : 1
Elversberg
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
PSG
30 Jul
Mallorca
4 : 2
Al Ittihad
25 Jul
Mallorca
3 : 0
Al Fateh
23 May
Mallorca
3 : 0
Real Oviedo
Page 1 of 6

Lyon

(Away)
11 Aug
Lyon
3 : 0
Sparta Prague
04 Aug
Sparta Prague
2 : 1
Lyon
29 Jul
Betis
4 : 0
Lyon
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Jul
Slavia Prague
2 : 0
Lyon
Page 1 of 6