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Mallorca vs Lyon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Kufstein Arena, Kufstein
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Match Events

15' Event
Abner Vinicius
19' Event
Mikautadze G.
27' Event
Abner Vinicius

AI Match Summary

Lyon in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mallorca
35%
Draws
38%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lyon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lyon at 1.71 per game, Mallorca at 1.45.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Lyon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mallorca Clean Sheet 20%
Lyon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mallorca Lyon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Mallorca vs Lyon
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mallorca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Abner Vinicius
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mikautadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mallorca 28 / 100
Lyon 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mallorca Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mallorca scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Lyon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Mallorca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mallorca VS Lyon
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mallorca

(Home)
04 Oct
Girona
0 : 0
Mallorca
27 Sept
Mallorca
0 : 1
Almeria
19 Sept
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1
Mallorca
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
05 Sept
Eldense
0 : 0
Mallorca
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Lyon

(Away)
19 Sept
Lyon
4 : 0
Rennes
16 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 2
Lyon
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
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