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Malmin Ponnistajat vs Mariehamn Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kakkonen South 2001
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kakkonen South 2001 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Malmin Ponnistajat
15%
Draws
64%
Mariehamn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mariehamn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mariehamn have won more games recently than Malmin Ponnistajat.
  • Mariehamn are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kakkonen South 2001 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Malmin Ponnistajat Clean Sheet 20%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmin Ponnistajat Mariehamn
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.18 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2002 Kakkonen South
Mariehamn vs Malmin Ponnistajat
3:0
Jun 29, 2002 Kakkonen South
Malmin Ponnistajat vs Mariehamn
2:0
Aug 12, 2001 Kakkonen South
Malmin Ponnistajat vs Mariehamn
1:1
May 24, 2001 Kakkonen South
Mariehamn vs Malmin Ponnistajat
1:2
Jul 30, 2000 Kakkonen West
Malmin Ponnistajat vs Mariehamn
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmin Ponnistajat 10 / 100
Mariehamn 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmin Ponnistajat Mariehamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mariehamn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mariehamn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 36 matches.

Attacking prowess: Malmin Ponnistajat scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Malmin Ponnistajat has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mariehamn
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmin Ponnistajat

(Home)
16 Apr
Malmin Ponnistajat
0 : 4
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
17 May
HooGee
2 : 0
Malmin Ponnistajat
07 May
ToBK
1 : 2
Malmin Ponnistajat
10 May
Malmin Ponnistajat
1 : 2
Poxyt
14 Sept
Malmin Ponnistajat
1 : 2
Honka
Page 1 of 7

Mariehamn

(Away)
18 Sept
SJK
2 : 1
Mariehamn
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viikingit 22 15 5 2 56:19 50
2 Helsingin 22 12 4 6 41:27 40
3 LePa 22 10 6 6 41:24 36
4 Mariehamn 22 10 4 8 48:37 34
5 KaPa 22 9 4 9 42:35 31
6 Malmin Ponnistajat 22 9 4 9 37:43 31
7 Kiffen 22 8 6 8 25:27 30
8 Lahden Tyovaen Palloilijat 22 8 3 11 29:45 27
9 Hyvinkaan Palloseura (HyPS) 22 8 3 11 32:49 27
10 Nurmijarven Nateva 22 6 6 10 29:43 24
11 MPS 22 7 1 14 31:53 22
12 JaPS 22 6 2 14 37:46 20
Promotion - Ykkonen 2002 (Main)
Promotion - Kakkonen Promotion Play Offs 2001 (Main)