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Malmo FF U19 vs Zenit St Petersburg U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2021/2022 Malmo IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malmo FF U19 play Zenit St Petersburg U19 in the UEFA Youth League 2021/2022. Zenit St Petersburg U19 are favorites here. Recently, Malmo FF U19 averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Zenit St Petersburg U19 averaged 2.97 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Malmo FF U19 won 0, Zenit St Petersburg U19 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 23, 2021 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Malmo FF U19 and 2.69 for Zenit St Petersburg U19. This points to a Zenit St Petersburg U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Malmo FF U19
15%
Draws
61%
Zenit St Petersburg U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Malmo FF U19 picked up more points recently compared to Zenit St Petersburg U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 2.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Malmo FF U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Zenit St Petersburg U19 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF U19 Zenit St Petersburg U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.57 2.97
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2021 UEFA Youth League
Malmo FF U19 vs Zenit St Petersburg U19
1:3
Sep 29, 2021 UEFA Youth League
Zenit St Petersburg U19 vs Malmo FF U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Zenit St Petersburg U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandrachuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikhaylovskiy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF U19 24 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg U19 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF U19 Zenit St Petersburg U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zenit St Petersburg U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Zenit St Petersburg U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Malmo FF U19 attacking → ← attacking Zenit St Petersburg U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF U19 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Zenit St Petersburg U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Malmo FF U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Zenit St Petersburg U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 68
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.38
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PSG U19642016:714
2Club Brugge U19632118:1111
3Manchester City U19622212:118
4RB Leipzig U1960064:210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Liverpool U1963219:411
2Atl. Madrid U1963129:610
3FC Porto U1963128:910
4AC Milan U1960243:102
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sporting CP U19632111:811
2Dortmund U19631216:910
3Ajax U1963129:1010
4Besiktas U1961058:173
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Madrid U19641111:613
2Inter U19641110:613
3Shakhtar U19630314:59
4Sheriff Tiraspol U1960064:220
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Benfica U19650114:415
2Dynamo Kyiv U19641114:313
3Barcelona U1961145:144
4Bayern U1961054:163
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manchester United U19650112:915
2Villarreal U19632115:911
3Atalanta U19621311:127
4Young Boys U1960157:151
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Salzburg U19640210:512
2Sevilla U1963218:311
3Lille U1963127:610
4Wolfsburg U1960152:131
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Juventus U19651018:716
2Chelsea U19631215:1010
3Zenit St Petersburg U19621310:137
4Malmo FF U1960158:211