Sport Picks

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Malmo FF vs Degerfors

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malmo FF host Degerfors in the Allsvenskan. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Degerfors have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Malmo FF have conceded 1.75 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Malmo FF slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (2.19 - 1.38) back Malmo FF to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Malmo FF
20%
Draws
22%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malmo FF come out ahead of Degerfors on wins alone.
  • Malmo FF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Malmo FF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 17%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Degerfors
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Malmo FF
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Degerfors
1:1
May 11, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Malmo FF
1:4
Sep 23, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Malmo FF
1:2
Jun 5, 2023 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Degerfors
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 84 / 100
Degerfors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Malmo FF scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Degerfors has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Malmo FF remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Degerfors
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
26 Jul
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Elfsborg
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2 : 2
Midtjylland
Page 1 of 6

Degerfors

(Away)
25 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Djurgarden
19 Jul
Hammarby
4 : 0
Degerfors
12 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Degerfors
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 14 12 2 0 40:17 38
2 Hammarby 15 8 3 4 33:15 27
3 Hacken 14 6 6 2 27:22 24
4 Djurgarden 13 7 2 4 27:15 23
5 Vasteras SK 14 6 4 4 24:23 22
6 AIK 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
7 Elfsborg 15 5 6 4 20:18 21
8 Malmo FF 14 6 2 6 28:24 20
9 GAIS 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Mjallby 14 4 5 5 20:19 17
11 Kalmar 14 5 2 7 18:20 17
12 Brommapojkarna 14 4 5 5 19:22 17
13 IFK Goteborg 14 3 4 7 17:33 13
14 Degerfors 14 2 4 8 12:24 10
15 Orgryte 14 2 4 8 14:33 10
16 Halmstad 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)