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Malmo FF vs Degerfors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Vukojevic D.
Assist: Girmai N.
46'
Sub
Rosengren O. In: Garcia D.
Out: Rosengren O.
47'
Dzabic R.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Malmo FF and Degerfors finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Degerfors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Malmo FF
20%
Draws
23%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malmo FF come out ahead of Degerfors on wins alone.
  • Malmo FF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 19%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Degerfors
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Degerfors
1:2
Jul 4, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Malmo FF
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Degerfors
1:1
May 11, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Malmo FF
1:4
Sep 23, 2023 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Malmo FF
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Degerfors Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukojevic D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 85 / 100
Degerfors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Degerfors has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Malmo FF has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Degerfors
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
03 Oct
Malmo FF
3 : 0
Nordsjaelland
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
Page 1 of 6

Degerfors

(Away)
03 Oct
Brage
1 : 1
Degerfors
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)