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Malmo FF vs Djurgarden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Eleda Stadion, Malmö
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Match Events

14'
Palsson M.
35' Event
Lien K.
Assist: Johansson P.
58' Event
Okkels J.
Assist: Hegland B.

AI Match Summary

Djurgarden in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Djurgarden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Malmo FF
15%
Draws
46%
Djurgarden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Djurgarden have won more games recently than Malmo FF.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 12%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Malmo FF Djurgarden
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.79 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Djurgarden
0:3
Apr 17, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Malmo FF
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Djurgarden
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Malmo FF
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Djurgarden
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Malmo FF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Lien K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okkels J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Malmo FF 30 / 100
Djurgarden 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Malmo FF Djurgarden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Malmo FF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Djurgarden has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Malmo FF VS Djurgarden
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malmo FF

(Home)
12 Oct
Malmo FF
1 : 0
Kalmar
03 Oct
Malmo FF
3 : 0
Nordsjaelland
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
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Djurgarden

(Away)
11 Oct
Hammarby
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1
Djurgarden
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 23 17 3 3 53:28 54
2 Djurgarden 23 14 2 7 48:21 44
3 Hammarby 23 13 4 6 49:21 43
4 Elfsborg 23 11 7 5 35:22 40
5 Hacken 23 10 9 4 42:30 39
6 Malmo FF 23 11 3 9 38:33 36
7 Vasteras SK 23 10 5 8 34:36 35
8 IFK Goteborg 23 10 5 8 32:41 35
9 AIK 23 9 6 8 36:40 33
10 GAIS 23 8 6 9 28:21 30
11 Brommapojkarna 23 8 6 9 36:41 30
12 Mjallby 23 5 8 10 28:39 23
13 Degerfors 23 5 5 13 20:35 20
14 Kalmar 23 5 4 14 21:37 19
15 Orgryte 23 3 6 14 25:52 15
16 Halmstad 23 3 5 15 16:44 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)